June 15, 2026
Pre-construction vs resale in DR: which actually wins
Pre-construction promises 20-30% upside. Resale promises certainty. The honest comparison and the decision framework we use with clients.
The single most common investor question in DR
Every foreign investor asks this within the first three calls. The answer depends on six factors: developer track record, timeline pressure, financing structure, market direction, your renovation tolerance, and your insurance against bad outcomes. Here's the honest comparison.
What pre-construction offers
- 20-30% discount to projected delivery value. Sometimes more.
- Choice of unit, floor, view, layout.
- Brand new construction with modern systems.
- Custom finishes possible on early phases.
- Payment in installments (typically 30% during construction, 70% at delivery).
What pre-construction costs
- Risk of developer non-completion (real, especially with newer developers)
- Risk of timeline slippage (most DR pre-construction delivers 6-18 months late)
- Risk of as-built differing from renderings (small claims to major)
- Tied-up capital during construction with no rental income
- Less negotiating power on price in hot markets
What resale offers
- Immediate possession and immediate rental income
- Verified construction quality (you walk through the actual unit)
- Established HOA, known fees, known building dynamics
- Negotiating leverage based on the seller's motivation
- No timeline risk
What resale costs
- Older construction (depending on age, 5-30+ years)
- Potentially outdated finishes requiring renovation
- Existing wear and tear
- Less inventory in many premium locations
- Selling-side broker commission built into the asking price (5-6%)
When pre-construction wins
The math typically favors pre-construction when:
- The developer has 3+ completed projects on time
- The market is appreciating 8%+ annually (rare but happens)
- You can wait 18-30 months for delivery without rental income
- The project is genuinely 20%+ below delivery comparables
- You have liquidity to absorb a 6-month timeline slip
When resale wins
Resale typically wins when:
- You need rental income within 90 days
- The market is flat or correcting
- Existing inventory is at 8-15% below replacement cost
- You want certainty over upside
- Your tolerance for project management is low
The hybrid we sometimes recommend
Buy resale in a CONFOTUR building during its 15-year exemption window. You get most of the tax benefit of pre-construction without the construction risk.
What we evaluate for clients
For every pre-construction we recommend, we run a 7-point developer audit (track record, capital structure, fiduciary escrow, permits, current construction site, current owner references, contract terms). We've turned down 60% of developer projects that have asked us to promote them. The 40% we work with have a 95%+ delivery track record on the projects we've placed buyers into.
If you're choosing between specific pre-construction and resale options, send us both. We'll model 5-year IRR for each and tell you which we'd buy ourselves.
